By Yoav Limor, Israel Hayom

The latest flare-up on the Israel-Gaza Strip border ‎appears to have calmed down dramatically since Thursday night, but everyone ‎knows it is far from over. Barring an extreme turn ‎of events, the next round of rocket fire on Israel’s ‎south is only a matter of time, as is Israel’s next military campaign in Gaza. ‎

The truce brokered by Egypt on Thursday is not an ‎official cease-fire. Hamas, via Cairo, announced it ‎was halting its rocket fire into Israel, prompting the IDF to halt its strikes, which is in line with Israel’s “calm will be ‎met with calm” policy. And so, as long as border ‎riots and arson terrorism incidents remain sporadic or absent, the tenuous ‎truce appears likely to hold. ‎

The Israeli public, media and government’s patience with Hamas is wearing ‎thinner with every border skirmish • Hamas may opt for war to prevent the residents of Gaza from turning against them • The next flare-up may be the breaking point for both sides.

The latest flare-up on the Israel-Gaza Strip border ‎appears to have calmed down dramatically since Thursday night, but everyone ‎knows it is far from over. Barring an extreme turn ‎of events, the next round of rocket fire on Israel’s ‎south is only a matter of time, as is Israel’s next military campaign in Gaza. ‎

The truce brokered by Egypt on Thursday is not an ‎official cease-fire. Hamas, via Cairo, announced it ‎was halting its rocket fire into Israel, prompting the IDF to halt its strikes, which is in line with Israel’s “calm will be ‎met with calm” policy. And so, as long as border ‎riots and arson terrorism incidents remain sporadic or absent, the tenuous ‎truce appears likely to hold. ‎

A deeper analysis of last week’s spike in border tension demonstrates that both ‎parties were again careful to play by the familiar ‎rules: Hamas made sure to target only border ‎vicinity communities in Israel – the Grad rocket fired deeper into Israel at ‎Beersheba was the work of Islamic Jihad – and the ‎IDF spared no effort to make sure its strikes on Gaza ‎terror targets resulted in minimal casualties, so as ‎not to give Hamas an excuse to escalate the ‎situation.‎ Continue Reading…